Germany is heading towards an electric car. You don't show yourself open to technology. But on the contrary. That could prove to be a problem. Because while the German companies put their energy into battery-electric vehicles, China unexpectedly changes course. And notes that sustainable mobility consists of different solutions.
While the battery electric car is considered to be without alternative in the EU and every critic runs the risk of being overwhelmed with a shitstorm, China 2020 surprises.
Instead, the country is now open to technology. In addition to battery-electric vehicles, billions are being pumped into the development of hydrogen-powered solutions. And surprisingly, methanol is at the top of the list - as an alternative fuel that promises independence from oil imports. In China it is made from coal, and a number of new coal-fired power plants are under construction. However, the instruction to the manufacturers to develop increasingly economical combustion engines is particularly astonishing. In 2020 there will be no more talk of singing to the “old” technology. The administration is pragmatically modifying its course and sees synthetic fuels and combustion engines as another building block for mobility.
China is focusing on growth through export in 2020. It is already growing export content faster than any other nation. At the same time, the average value of the exported vehicles is continuously increasing. The Ministry of Commerce reports that electric cars should make a decisive contribution to success in the future. Because there you see yourself better positioned than the established companies. In fact, the number of start-ups that have developed with European help can hardly be overseen. Several will start shipping in 2020 and plan to export.
Old cars 2020
It's no secret - the Saab fleet is aging. 2011 was the last year of production, 2008 was the last time that the population was sold. With regard to the climate discussion, electrification and digitization, one can already ask about the reason for the existence of analog vehicles. Will they quickly disappear from the streets or do they have a chance to survive the next decade?
What is certain is that the tone will become rougher. The polarization will increase. The outrage of the Umweltsau Satire showed a little taste. On the other hand, there will also be people in the new decade who appreciate analog things. A car that travels without terabytes of data, that is really owned, and that works if you turn the analog key, it has something.
Because of course, the whole digitization has its downsides. It depends on the functioning of a complex infrastructure that makes the glass transparent and also entails a huge CO2 footprint. It grows rapidly every year and already encompasses the size of smaller economies. These drawbacks will be an issue that will be discussed more in a few years. And which in turn speak for the longer, sustainable use of analog mobility solutions. Especially when synthetic fuels from green energy will be available.
The danger lurks in China. And really this time. Brands that start their electric car production in 2020 have products that have been developed through an international network and are competitive. Their cloud solutions are ahead of Europeans, and half a century of knowledge has gone into electronics, while China has been the world's workbench for every type of electronic device.
While Arcfox, Enovate, Hycan, Nio and Xpeng bring more vehicles onto the market, nothing comes from Trollhättan. Evergrande, the main shareholder in NEVS, is planning the first half of 2020 Presentation of the first new vehicle. Production in 2021, so the Göta Älv will remain calm this year. The hope of producing the Sion has been dashed, and whether Koenigsegg will build a small series in the former Saab factory remains uncertain.
However, the prospects are good for the development center. The list of vacancies is long, in Stallbacka new jobs are created with a certain continuity. The development site is still in business and that gives hope for more. At some point in a car production in the old Saab plant.